Ukraine crisis escalating

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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby ProfessorDreadNaught » Mon Mar 03, 2014 6:16 am

CommanderOtto wrote:
ProfessorDreadNaught wrote:
11_Panama_ wrote:The truth is, we would of done the same thing. Where ever we have a base, and there is civil unrest.. we would be there protecting our assets. So I guess I can see where they're coming from.

Seriously? Please, site an instance in modern times (post WWII) when a U.S. base on foreign soil, after the host country asked/told the U.S. to leave, we then sent additional troops into sovereign territory to seize key logistic points in the region.


invasion of Panama 1989.

Key logistic point: panama canal.

even if it was good to get rid of manuel noriega, the U.S does the same things sometimes. I don't think there was a u.s base over there at the time, but Pan is not totally wrong.

No sir. The U.S. did NOT invade a country to keep its military base there. While the Panama Canal was a logistic point, it was under lease and already operated by the U.S. both before and after the invasion. There had not been a threat to kick the U.S. out.

You guys want to THINK the U.S. does the same things, but this is an especially egregious case of geo-political imperialism not seen since the invasion of Hungary in 1956. More importantly, its a reversion to Soviet style satellite state control; A Cold War we fought and already won.
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby Mandalore » Mon Mar 03, 2014 6:17 am

Such an incredibly complicated situation going down in them hills over yonder.

For one Crimea is almost fully autonomous. The mayor of the Crimea invited Russia to come in as far as I can recall. The Russians obviously have a stake in this because Sevastopol is one of their largest bases in the world and certainly the largest warm water port they have. Russia is merely maintaining their national strategic interests in the region. Dread, we both know your argument about America not power projecting is some serious [poo]. To complicate the matter is that many Russians honestly view the Ukraine as part of the core Russian nation. Ukraine has never been independent outside of a few decades since roughly the 13th century. Honestly, the Soviets kind of shot themselves in the foot with how they drew up the governance of the different USSR territories. The population has a plurality of "ethnic Russians" but the ethnic Ukrainians and Crimean Tatars are almost the same size and both vehemently hate Russian authority (in general). I don't think it will come to open war since that is something neither side desires given how costly war is in this modern age. Imo, it will go back to the status quo after it's all said and done. While it might not sit well with the populace, the naval base at Sevastopol is a huge bargaining chip for the Ukraine in future negotiations. Russia couldn't hold onto the Ukraine if it for whatever reason decided to directly annex it, it would be Chechnya x 100. Also, as much as Russia tries to act like it's once again the mighty bear...frankly it's a bear who carries deep scars and still has some wounds that are healing. It's economic growth in the past decade has been almost exclusively been driven by its oil resources. An embargo by the EU might actually trigger the crisis they went through in the 90s, nasty stuff.
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby WD-40 » Mon Mar 03, 2014 12:27 pm

I have to agree with Mandalore's analysis here. Besides, the last thing Putin wants, is to tarnish his reputation. As Mandalore stated, Putin was invited to intervene (by the Crimean Mayor or Regional Governor...not sure which yet), but also Putin is very carefully trying to keep this as 'legal' as possible based on a Treaty Russia has in the Crimea to operate ships there. It's not just vital for Strategic purposes, but Economic for obvious reasons...location, location, location.

I also suspect, under similar circumstances, the US would do the same thing if there was a big economic interests. but we are more isolated geographically than Russia. We do have established Naval and Marine bases in the Middle East (allowing the US to respond if need be to protect our 'interests' there), and when Iran threatened to blockade the oil shipments, we responded, and would have no issue crossing into their territorial waters to protect shipments and free-flow of oil...because of its economic value to us. However, I believe we don't need their Middle Eastern Crude since we have clean Shale Oil surpluses, and if we could drill Alaska too more, we'd be oil independent, and our economic needs in the ME would be far less important. But that's another subject matter.

Putin has Obama on the ropes Politically and has never looked this good before on the public stage, so Obama is of no concern of his. The Eastern European Leaders have more influence on these matters than Obama because they have a stake in this, but like I said, Putin is being very 'measured' in his response with his military, not stirring the pot vocally, and is using his options early before Ukraine gets too unstable and the world has too much time to think about it. Not sure if he'll go so far as to annex Eastern Ukraine where most pro-Russians live, but I'd say, at the very least, he's going to make sure there's stable governments in place that he and Russia can trust to work with before he pulls the military back out.
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby MATTHEW'S_DAD » Tue Mar 04, 2014 12:12 pm

Here's the difference between BEING knowledgeable and APPEARING to be knowledgeable.

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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby BurzaP » Thu Mar 06, 2014 8:46 pm

I have no idea how this things will go but I regret that when I was judged in my eighteens by ability to serve in army I got A.. I could ask for D.
I haven't a clue if there will be any war in Ukraine (or if it has already started, I mean, if we can call occupation this way) but if the answer is positive and we know Ukraine won't win it then I wouldn't be surprised if Russia would like to attack Poland. Blitzkrieg, 1 day and with our 30 000 troops against 700 000 I can't see a future. European countries are obligated to help us but it would already be too late. I'm just only speculating without any real knowledge to the situation but I have bad feelings about this :/
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby [NH]Shadow » Thu Mar 06, 2014 9:40 pm

BurzaP wrote:I have no idea how this things will go but I regret that when I was judged in my eighteens by ability to serve in army I got A.. I could ask for D.
I haven't a clue if there will be any war in Ukraine (or if it has already started, I mean, if we can call occupation this way) but if the answer is positive and we know Ukraine won't win it then I wouldn't be surprised if Russia would like to attack Poland. Blitzkrieg, 1 day and with our 30 000 troops against 700 000 I can't see a future. European countries are obligated to help us but it would already be too late. I'm just only speculating without any real knowledge to the situation but I have bad feelings about this :/

Cześć, Burzap :clap:
I didn't know you were in the Polish army...that's pretty cool. :punk:
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby Duel of Fates » Thu Mar 06, 2014 10:48 pm

Russia now controls most of eastern Europe's natural gas supply. Doubt if they have the stomach to do anything.
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby BurzaP » Thu Mar 06, 2014 10:54 pm

[NH]Shadow wrote:
BurzaP wrote:I have no idea how this things will go but I regret that when I was judged in my eighteens by ability to serve in army I got A.. I could ask for D.
I haven't a clue if there will be any war in Ukraine (or if it has already started, I mean, if we can call occupation this way) but if the answer is positive and we know Ukraine won't win it then I wouldn't be surprised if Russia would like to attack Poland. Blitzkrieg, 1 day and with our 30 000 troops against 700 000 I can't see a future. European countries are obligated to help us but it would already be too late. I'm just only speculating without any real knowledge to the situation but I have bad feelings about this :/

Cześć, Burzap :clap:
I didn't know you were in the Polish army...that's pretty cool. :punk:


hey, I haven't precised enough. I'm not in army because military service is not obligatory min my country. But my category means that if there is a need they will take me to army without any questions. Hopefully, there will not be such situation. Besides that, I don't think that being in army is cool when it comes down to killing others (and in the end it's what it is for). Sad suits better. No matter what for, I just don't like idea of killing and being killed as life is too short anyway. People should fight to keep peace if country is facing aggression and formally I can be one of them but being object of slaughter is nowhere near what I call "cool" :)
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby [NH]Shadow » Fri Mar 07, 2014 1:12 am

BurzaP wrote:
hey, I haven't precised enough. I'm not in army because military service is not obligatory min my country. But my category means that if there is a need they will take me to army without any questions. Hopefully, there will not be such situation. Besides that, I don't think that being in army is cool when it comes down to killing others (and in the end it's what it is for). Sad suits better. No matter what for, I just don't like idea of killing and being killed as life is too short anyway. People should fight to keep peace if country is facing aggression and formally I can be one of them but being object of slaughter is nowhere near what I call "cool" :)

I get your meaning...and I don't think that killing is "cool" either. I meant that defending one's freedom and country is "cool". :afro:
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Re: Ukraine crisis escalating

Postby WD-40 » Fri Mar 07, 2014 1:50 am

BurzaP wrote:hey, I haven't precised enough. I'm not in army because military service is not obligatory min my country. But my category means that if there is a need they will take me to army without any questions.

Did you show them your 'shooting skills' on BF2?!? If you did...count yourself recruited or drafted. You would make plenty of 'head shots' on the drunk Russians who dared to cross your gun-sites! :punk:
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