Who Will Win?

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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby Outrider » Sun Sep 23, 2012 1:33 am

Um, I'm not sure what you are trying to point out by quoting what Darth Crater asked and not following it up with anything else....

Anyway, I think Obama will win simply because that's what the polls show. :-|
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby Darth Crater » Sun Sep 23, 2012 1:50 am

We've been discussing this a bit more over Xfire. Here's his source:
http://www.examiner.com/article/making- ... -results-1
Here's where the author, Dean Chambers, explains his methodology:
http://www.examiner.com/article/is-the- ... -for-obama

Effectively, he looks at everyone's polls, and works out what the percentage of Reps, Dems, and independents voting for each candidate would mean if they matched Rasmussen's results on what percentage of the population belonged to each (instead of what percentage of the ones polled belonged to each). Works great if you assume Rasmussen is unbiased and fairly distributed and all the other polling organizations aren't. I don't particularly agree with that conclusion. I've heard they only call landlines and thus oversample the elderly (who lean Republican), but I'm not sure how accurate that is. Anyone else able to weigh in on Rasmussen's reliability?
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby Duel of Fates » Sun Sep 23, 2012 3:41 am

"Who will win?"

I can tell ya who will lose. The American people.
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby kjeopardy » Sun Sep 23, 2012 4:24 am

Duel of Fates wrote:"Who will win?"

I can tell ya who will lose. The American people.


I like your sense of humor; unfortunately this isn't humor.
"Mathematics is the queen of sciences and number theory is the queen of mathematics. She often condescends to render service to astronomy and other natural sciences, but in all relations she is entitled to the first rank."~Karl Friedrich Gauss
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby Outrider » Sun Sep 23, 2012 5:33 am

@Darth Crater: I can only counter by providing an article that explains the discrepancies found in the various polls that are not atrributed solely by bias: http://www.businessinsider.com/polls-sk ... ats-2012-9

Outrider wrote:Um, I'm not sure what you are trying to point out by quoting what Darth Crater asked and not following it up with anything else....

...and then you go edit your post, and replace the quote with the applauding icon...what's your reason, Pi?
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby Darth Crater » Sun Sep 23, 2012 5:48 am

It's probably just because there's no deletion option.

That article looks like a well-reasoned summary of the possibilities.
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby (=DK=)Samonuh » Sun Sep 23, 2012 6:19 am

Nobody wins.

GaryJohnson2012.
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby FaiL.? » Sun Sep 23, 2012 10:55 am

The reason that I dislike Romney is for: Picking a stupid running mate (the GE incident, when Ryan critisized Obama for its collapsE, when it was already gone before '08...anther is Mitt's anti-abortion [poo], the government has NO right to control your body, and how Romney paid 15% tax this year; in CT I pay 28%!
I rest my case.
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby Dad » Sun Sep 23, 2012 12:07 pm

Duel of Fates wrote:"Who will win?"

I can tell ya who will lose. The American people.


:appl: Either way, We The People are screwed.
i weep for the future

later
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Re: Who Will Win?

Postby [m'kay] » Sun Sep 23, 2012 1:00 pm

3.14pi wrote:
Duel of Fates wrote:"Who will win?"

I can tell ya who will lose. The American people.


I like your sense of humor; unfortunately this isn't humor.


You're right, the fact that the government is absolutely useless and playing to it's own tune isn't funny at all. But the fact that you're still fighting so spiritedly for one side or the other is pretty hilarious.
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